Monday, February 29, 2016

I'm With Amanda Marcotte: Go Donald Go

Of course, I hope we're not wrong.

Don’t get me wrong. I’m not saying I like Trump — I hate him with the passion of a thousand burning suns — or that I want him to be president. But yes, I think he should win the Republican nomination. He’s run the best campaign, one that speaks to what Republican voters want to hear, and, by that measure, he deserves to win the nomination, so that Hillary Clinton can wipe the floor with him in November.


  1. I'm not as sanguine as you, Kevin. That Drumpf has advanced as far as he has makes me numbingly fearful of what can happen next November.

    BTW, Rubio made a remark about the "size" of Drumpf's "hands." So now it's a "Who's Got A Bigger "Hand" contest!

    Can it get any worse than that?

  2. There is a thing I call the "kitchen table vote". It's where people think of the issues that materially impact them. Their grocery bill. Their kids' education. Their jobs.
    Trump will not win that vote. The people who did not necessarily dislike Romney but voted for Obama last election will vote for Hillary.
    The US unemployment rate dropped below 5% in January. It's not great times but things are not crap enough for the populace to collectively lose their mind and roll the dice on Trump.
    Obviously... much can happen between now and November, but if Hillary holds the sane centre she will win, and I think a humiliation of epic proportions could come to Trump.

  3. I would be more worried about Cruz or Rubio, Shaw. They might actually be electable. I'd really hate to see Kasich get the nomination. Congress members are running away from Trump now. With any luck he'll be so toxic down the ballot that it'll be a given that the Senate is back in Democratic hands. Large, sturdy, sane hands.

    Yes, the only group I can really see voting for Trump en masse is old, white men, Magpie. And even I'm not. So, there's one old white male vote against him. The guys running against him did a shit job of digging up dirt. The Democrats aren't going to make that mistake. Stuff is starting to come out now, but it's probably too late to stop his march to the nomination.

    The white supremacist thing, connections to mafia money, sexual harassment. At some point, this stuff sticks. I like that he's so thin-skinned, too. Hillary is battle tested. The Right has been attacking her for the last 24 years, since she became first lady. It's a plus that she's a woman because he seems to have some definite issues there.

  4. TPM

    Both Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Hillary Clinton would beat Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump in a general election, according to a CNN/ORC poll of national voters released Tuesday morning.

    Sanders led Trump with an 12-point lead, 55 to 43 percent. In the January iteration of the poll, Sanders only led by three points.

    Sanders also beat Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) by eight points and beat Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) by 17 points in head-to-head match-ups.

    Clinton beat Trump with an 8-point lead, 52 to 44 percent. This is a sharp increase from the 1- to 2-point leads she had over the real estate mogul in the December and January versions of the poll.

    Clinton lost to Rubio by three points and lost to Cruz by one point in head-to-head match-ups.

    Of course, on March 1st, that means nothing.

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